So we're approaching a new year, 2012. When I look back, not just this year but back as far as the 80's, it seems like yesterday. I recall my first auto focus camera, took it to Alaska and was so, so disappointed. It was a Minolta, no longer even being made. I came back thinking, this auto focus thing is not going to work for some time, if ever. And, I couldn't control the focal point, too much technology intruding into my world of photography. Give me a manual focus camera with a descent light meter, a couple of lenses and leave me alone. And that's how I felt only yesterday albeit 25 years ago. Attitude change came slowly, but I finally broke down and bought a Canon autofocus camera. I had shot Nikon all my life but some AP photograhers clued me in on issues discovered in the first Gulf War and how the AP switched to Canon, so I did to. This courship lasted until the Nikon F5 came out, and I immediately divorced Canon and remarried Nikon. This was in the age of film, new technolgy consisted of auto focus and better metering. Boy, I was naive about what was to come. A revolution was on the horizon and I had my head ....in a dark hole.
So now it's December 2011, the world of photography has changed in ways I could not have imagined. Not only have the tools changed but the learning curve or what's left of it have completely turned upside down. With instant feedback, the art of photography has moved rapidly through millions of aspiring artists, and phones with cameras, yes phones with cameras. I could not have imagined this only a few years ago. Everyone is taking pictures, a compendium of images is growing at an exponential rate, documenting everything, everyday, in every way. It seems everyone owns some form of camera, and uses it regularly. And some would argue, this invasion as eleminated personal privacy. But, that's another blog and subject.
Now back to the beginning, it's about to be 2012. If Moore's Law continues to apply, the world will change even more dramatically, faster, in ways only limited by our imagination. So here goes my list of predictions based on pure ignorance.
1. "Wired" will disappear. Everything will be wireless
2. "Hard drives" will disappear. Everything will be in clouds managed by others.
3. "Focus" and "exposure" and "color" will be decided in post processing.
4. "Detail" or megapixel quality will be a choice in post processing.
5. "Still" and "video" will be the same, come from the same device, with unimaginable quality in most consumer portable devices.
6. Post processing will be complicated but taught at early ages in early education.
7. The world will be exposed in ways not seen before, nothing will be "secret" or "descreet", photojournalism will be commonly practiced by everyone.
8. "Printing" will move to electronic. The hard coyp print will be seen less and less.
9. Film will return as an eclectic art.
10. Composition and Perspective will remain king. The art of photography will improve and the photographer's eye will be remain the critical skill. Creativity and imagination will continue to distinguish photographers.
So that's my two sense for what awaits us. I have no clue if I'm all right or wrong. For sure it will not happen next week or even next year, but things seem to be heading that way from my perspective. I'm not quite sure what I will do if it happens while I'm still around. I look forward to not having to mess with backing up my files and managing workflow. I'm not as enthusiastic about not managing focal point, exposure, etc. seems like a bit too much control in post processing. But I believe the change will occur. I can imagine ths comment "Dad, did they really focus and do all that stuff in those old things called cameras?" Maybe I'm getting carried away, but that's what writing a blog does to you. Get in the zone and it all comes out.
Back to earth, I do think photo technology is at an infancy point. We will all have to wait, and if we are lucky and healthy, we will see the change. It will create new opportunities for us, and for that I'm excited. Best wishes to all add taking more pictures to your new year's resolution list.
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